Wednesday did not have an absurdly high volume of polling, but what we saw could most definitely elicit a little sideways glance, and a quick scratch of the head.
Is it possible that there are nineteen points of difference between Barack Obama and Shelley Berkley in Nevada? Rasmussen says so.
Is it possible that, after every political observer has written his obituary, that 6-term Sen. Dick Lugar survives next week, after all? A new poll says that it is, indeed, possible.
Is it possible that over $ 8 million hasn’t been enough to save GOP “superstar” (as he was hailed in a local daily here in Los Angeles) Gov. Scott Walker? A new poll still puts him in extreme danger.
This was just one of those days with data that gave you a real sense of anticipation about what lies ahead. Here are the numbers:
(GOP) PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY POLLS:
NATIONAL (YouGov): Romney 49, Gingrich 17, Paul 16
PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:
NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Romney d. Obama (46-45)
NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Obama d. Romney (47-44)
NATIONAL (YouGov): Obama d. Romney (48-43)
MONTANA (PPP): Romney d. Obama (48-43); Romney d. Obama and Libertarian Gary Johnson (43-41-8)
NEVADA (Rasmussen): Obama d. Romney (52-44)
WISCONSIN (Marquette Law School): Obama d. Romney (51-42)
IN-SEN—R (Magellan Research for a PAC supporting Dick Lugar): Sen. Dick Lugar 44, Richard Mourdock 42
NC-GOV—R (PPP): Pat McCrory 66, Jim Harney 4, Scott Jones 2, Jim Mahan 2, Paul Wright 2, Charles Kenneth Moss 0
VA-SEN (PPP): Tim Kaine (D) 46, George Allen (R) 45
WI-GOV (Marquette Law School): Gov. Scott Walker (R) 48, Tom Barrett (D) 47; Walker 49, Kathleen Falk (D) 42
WI-GOV—D (Marquette Law School): Tom Barrett 38, Kathleen Falk 21, Doug LaFollette 8, Kathleen Vinehout 6
A few thoughts, as always, just past the jump.