If nothing else, the pair of daily tracking polls on the presidential election between the incumbent, Barack Obama, and his challenger Mitt Romney have the same leader. Curiously, it is not the guy that has led in 90-plus percent of the non-tracking polls over the last two months, but what the hey.
A casual observer of politics, I assume, would expect that not only the outcome of the two tracking polls would be similar, but also that the trajectory of the two tracking polls would be somewhat in line. However, the electoral addicts that read this Wrap (and others like it) already know, that isn’t always the case.
Having said that, it is a little smirkworthy that one the first day of legitimate comparison between the Gallup and Rasmussen trackers, they go in precisely the opposite direction from one another.
More on that in a bit. First, the raw numbers:
GOP (PRESIDENTIAL) PRIMARY POLLING:
NATIONAL (Pew): Romney 42, Santorum 21, Gingrich 13, Paul 13
PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:
NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Romney d. Obama (48-43)
NATIONAL (Pew Research): Obama d. Romney (49-45)
NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (46-45)
FLORIDA (PPP): Obama d. Romney (50-45)
MD-06 (Garin-Hart-Yang for Delaney): John Delaney (D) 48, Rep. Roscoe Bartlett (R) 39
TN-03–R (North Star Opinion Research for Mayfield): Scottie Mayfield 34, Rep. Chuck Fleischmann 25, Weston Wamp 25
WI-SD-13 (PPP for Daily Kos): Sen. Scott Fitzgerald (R) 54, Lori Compas (D) 40
WI-SD-21 (PPP for Daily Kos): Sen. Van Wangaard (R) 48, John Lehman (D) 46
WI-SD-23 (PPP for Daily Kos): Sen. Terry Moulton (R) 51, Kristin Dexter (D) 41
WI-SD-29 (PPP for Daily Kos): Jerry Petrowski (R) 51, Donna Seidel (D) 37
A few thoughts, as always, await you after the jump.