While there hasn’t been a ton of polling out of Alabama and Mississippi in advance of tomorrow’s “Deep South” primaries, what we have seen over the past few days points to a potential coin flip on Tuesday night.
Interestingly, it looks like national polls of the GOP primary point to a similarly tight circumstance. Gallup’s tracker, inexplicably, is tightening again, and two new national polls see a four-point race, with Santorum leading in one of those polls.
On the general election front, it was a quiet Monday, though a national poll did give a little cover to Rasmussen’s sudden surge for the GOP.
GOP PRIMARY POLLS:
NATIONAL (ABC/Washington Post): Romney 33, Santorum 29, Gingrich 14, Paul 12
NATIONAL (CBS News): Santorum 34, Romney 30, Gingrich 13, Paul 8
NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Romney 34, Santorum 25, Gingrich 15, Paul 12
ALABAMA (American Research Group): Gingrich 34, Romney 31, Santorum 24, Paul 6
ALABAMA (PPP): Romney 31, Gingrich 30, Santorum 29, Paul 8
ILLINOIS (Chicago Tribune/Market Shares): Romney 35, Santorum 31, Gingrich 12, Paul 7
MISSISSIPPI (American Research Group): Romney 34, Gingrich 32, Santorum 22, Paul 8
MISSISSIPPI (PPP): Gingrich 33, Romney 31, Santorum 27, Paul 7
GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:
NATIONAL (ABC/Washington Post): Romney d. Obama (49-47); Obama d. Santorum (49-46)
NATIONAL (CBS/New York Times): Obama d. Romney (47-44); Obama d. Santorum (48-44); Obama d. Paul (49-39); Obama d. Gingrich (52-38)
NATIONAL (Rasmussen): Romney d. Obama (46-43); Obama d. Paul (42-41); Obama d. Santorum (46-43); Obama d. Gingrich (46-40)
A thought or two about tomorrow … and beyond … after the jump.